Tuesdays Racing.

Another disappointed run for the blog yesterday, Vinces was the selection and he was never really put into the race but he ran on strongly to take 3rd, with hindsight I should have put it up as an e/way selection especially at 8/1 but there we go, we can't change the past.


Selection:
Vinces 1pts win @ 8/1+. Result - 3rd @ 8/1. -1pts.

Daily Profit: -1pts.
Overall Profit: -4.4pts.

I'm going to start taking a good look at Aintree tomorrow and hopefully I can find a few winners. I am hoping that Tataniano will be turned out somewhere but seeing as he wasn't fit enough for Cheltenham after picking up a little injury who knows, he might be out at some point. I've already had a bet on Quinz for the Grand National, I took 160 on Betfair before the Racing Post Chase as Philip Hobbs said before that win that if he did win he'd be 'well-in' for the Grand National, I'd already backed Quinz for the Racing Post Chase, I expected a win so I thought no harm in having a few spare pounds at such a big price. Anyway, on to tomorrows racing and I have one selection in a competitive race but I'd give him a good chance.


15:10 Pontefract Dalby Stand Handicap
Tom Sawyer was well backed to win a 3 runner A/W handicap last week but he was beaten by the improving Joe Le Taxi, he should come on for that first run of the season but this is a tougher handicap and he could have his work cut out. Mutajare is one of two Mark Johnston runners, he won his maiden race impressively but his handicap mark of 85 looks stiff enough. Flynn's Boy is looking for the hat-trick but this is harder and though improving there are some more attractive betting opportunities. My Single Malt could run a big race but Tom Tate's runners aren't as well forward as some other trainers and Tim Easterby's runner Another Citizen is another one who will come on plenty for the run. State Of Mind comes from the in-form Paul Cole yard and he could be on a fair mark of 80, the claimer Duilio De Silva is not someone I know much about but he claims 7lb and he may yet be 'good for his claim' but being out of Zamindar he was always likely to be best as a 3yo and may not have progressed as much as some other the winter. The selection is Lexi's Hero who won a maiden at Pontefract beating Podgies Boy by 6 lengths off level weights with Jack Smugde 1/2 length further back in 3rd. Podgies Boy didn't win on his next 3 maiden starts but he won a seller then 2 handicaps off 67 and 74. When he won off 74 he beat Palm Pilot, who won all 3 starts since and is rated 8lb higher now (68-76) and Geordie Iris was back in 3rd and he too has won all starts since including a claimer then 2 handicaps and is rated 6lb higher now (74-80). Jack Smudge went on to win his next maiden start then 3 straight handicaps off marks of 73, 77 and 83 and is now rated 88. The one handicap race that Lexi's Hero contested was off a mark of 90 in which he finished 5th of 8 on soft ground which wouldn't have suited. The form of that race does look strong though as 4th placed First Class Favour won 2 of his next 3 starts and is now rated 14lb higher, 3rd placed Loki's Revenge won 2 handicaps since and is rated 10lb higher than his mark that day, 2nd was Jamesway who was unlucky to finish just 7th in a listed race next time after not getting a clear run for the most part of the last 2 furlongs, beaten just 3 3/4 lengths. Though the winner of Lexi's Hero's handicap, Foghorn Leghorn, hasn't won since he did however contest a strong looking Middle Park won by Dream Ahead and Foghorn Leghorn is now officially on a 20lb higher mark than when he won that handicap. Lexi's Hero disappointed on his last start of the year but that was in a strong listed race and he had been through a long hard season, he will be much better suited by returning to handicap company after a break. He's been dropped 4lb for his one handicap run which will help his chances in this same grade, he's posted a best RPR of 90, the 2nd highest posted by any runner in this race, beaten only by Satin Love who has been largely regressive since. Lexi's Hero is out of Invincible Spirit so he can be expected to come on from 2yo to 3yo and with Kevin Ryan having his runners quite forward at this early stage of the season (5 winners, 5 seconds and 3 thirds from 22 runners in the last 14 days) I expect a good showing. There is due to be some rain overnight at Pontefract, the current going of good to firm would have suited Lexi's Hero but aslong as it's no worse than good to soft come race time he has strong claims.

Selection:
Lexi's Hero 1pts win @ 6/1 (Paddy Power).

Good luck with all your bets.